Monday, September 17, 2007

This Tuesday's reduction in interest rates, whether it's 25 basis points or 50 basis points, will do little to resolve housing's depression and little to reduce the probability of a 2008 recession as the record level of unsold homes, the pace of mortgage resets, the likely deterioration in coming jobs reports and still-stretched affordability issues suggest that the inherent supply/demand imbalances will continue for some time. Or at least the next several interest rate cuts.